Very successful day today. Peddlers Cross & Weapons Amnesty both won at prices of 8/1 & 10/1 respectively & both Kalahari King & Al Ferof were placed at decent prices. St Patricks Day over, it’s onto tomorrows business……
- 1.30 The Jewson Novices’ Handicap Chase
This is quite a tricky handicap with most of the runners having something to prove. One that really stands out is The Hollingwell, trained by the cunning fox Ferdy Murphy. This stable always merits maximum respect in handicap races & I think The Hollingwell has all the credentials needed to be victorious in this race. He will love the distance & seems to go well on any ground.
- 2.05 Pertemps Final
I like the chances of Paul Nicholl’s Alfie Sheeran in this race. The distance will play to his strengths & he loves this surface. Both the jockey & the trainer have been talking up this lads chances in recent weeks & I cant really look past him.
An each way alternative may be Tom Taafe’s Smoking Aces who has ran well this season. However, he is unproven over this trip & he may be found out by a more experienced type
I’ll be backing Alfie Sheeran to win in this race.
The market leaders for this race are Poquelin & the Irish raider Tranquil Sea. Eddie O’Grady’s Tranquil Sea has already beaten Poquelin this season over this course & distance so deserves respect.
Both have ran well since that encounter. Tranquil Sea came second in a good race before winning his latest start. Poquelin won his only race after his defeat to Tranquil Sea beating subsequent racing post trophy winner Razor Royale. However, Razor Royale did this form no favours on day one of the festival when pulling up with a good way to go.
Tranquil Sea to win this race.
- 4.00 The Byrne Group Plate
This looks a pig of a race on paper. The statistics are also very off putting as only one favourite has won it since 1981 (when Peter Donegan was in his prime). However, a more helpful pointer is that 13 of the last 15 winners have carried less than 11 stone. This narrows it down to around twenty possible horse! All joking aside i really like the chances of the Jonjo O’ Neill trained Sunnyhillboy. He carriers a relative featherweight of 10 stone 3 & the jockey, Richie McLernon, claims a further 3 pounds. I have being very impressed with this jockey all year & his good value for his claim. the horse has previously won at this track & is hard to look past.
Sunnyhillboy each way.
Best of luck.